Bridge — User Guide

Overview

Bridge is a market intelligence platform that combines news, technicals, fundamentals, and macro context into ranked trading signals. Every signal scores 0–100. The score reflects how many independent data sources agree on a directional view — and how strongly.

The system has four pages accessible from the top navigation:

Page	What it shows
📊 Signals	Signal browser — ranked opportunities by date and theme
🏦 Bond Macro	Global bond yield charts and the macro multiplier history
🔬 Profiler	Searchable grid of all 1,948 TWSE stocks with fundamentals and Grok narratives
🗺 Sectors	Market sector breadth — conviction heatmap by sector, rotation signals, and top-ranked themes per sector
💼 Portfolio	Portfolio tracker — monitor your positions alongside signal outcomes and conviction scores
🌊 Capitulation	Buying/selling exhaustion tracker for TW, JP, US, KLSE — 0–100 score with 9 signal zones and 30-day history
📖 Guide	This page

Tip: Every panel has a ? button you can hover over for an instant explanation without leaving the page. This guide goes deeper when you need the full picture.

The Conviction Score

The conviction score (0–100) is the most important number. It answers: how many independent signals agree, and how strongly?

The Formula

conviction = raw_score × regime × bond_macro × indices × fundamentals

The raw score is built from 7 components (each contributing a fixed % weight), then multiplied by 4 gates that compress or boost based on the broader environment.

20%

News vector similarity

How closely the article matches the signal theme semantically. Computed with pgvector embeddings.

10%

LLM sentiment

llama3.2:1b scores the article tone: −1 (bearish) to +1 (bullish). Applied direction-aware.

15%

Analyst sentiment DB

Avg polarity from structured analyst articles (premium feed). Higher quality than general news. 30-day window.

20%

Technical score

Composite of RSI, SMA20/50 position, CLV (close-location-value), and persistence. −1 to +1.

10%

Foreign institutional flow

3-day net buying/selling by foreign funds on TWSE. TW stocks only; neutral (5 pts) for others.

Recency

How fresh the triggering article is. Decays linearly over 7 days.

Sector rotation

Whether the sector is in accumulation or distribution. Neutral when no data.

The Four Multipliers

Applied sequentially after the raw score. All four compound — in the current environment they reduce scores to about 45% of raw.

×0.60

Regime

Risk-Off
TW/Asia currently

×0.75

Bond Macro

Macro Stress
JP10Y carry high

×1.00

Indices

Mixed
Avg corr=0.21

×0.80–1.20

Fundamentals

Per stock
TWSE quarterly P&L

Multiplier	Range	Source	Updates
Regime	×0.60 – ×1.30	% of stocks above SMA20 in each market	Daily
Bond Macro	×0.70 – ×1.20	US yield curve, JP10Y, CN-US spread	Daily (~2d lag)
Indices	×0.80 – ×1.20	9 global index returns + correlation	Daily
Fundamentals	×0.80 – ×1.20	Gross margin, op margin, revenue YoY from TWSE OpenAPI quarterly	Nightly (profiler)

Fundamentals multiplier (new): For TW stocks, the conviction score is now adjusted based on whether the company's financials support or contradict the signal direction. A bullish signal on a stock with 60% gross margins and +22% revenue growth gets ×1.20. The same bullish signal on a stock with 6% margins and declining revenue gets ×0.80. This makes Fund-pill signals — especially the red ones — worth extra attention.

Strength Labels

Score	Label	Interpretation in Risk-Off + Macro Stress
0–39	⚪ NOISE	Weak alignment. Background awareness only.
40–54	🟡 WEAK	Some alignment. Worth watching — in Risk-Off this is meaningful.
55–69	✅ MODERATE	Good alignment. In Risk-Off this is rare and significant.
70+	🔥 STRONG	Near-impossible in current environment. Would require regime shift first.

The current max is ~46/100 because Risk-Off (×0.60) × Macro Stress (×0.75) = ×0.45 applied to the raw score. A signal scoring 46 today would score ~100 in a Bull + Tailwind environment. The scores are not broken — the market is genuinely restrictive.

The Pages

📊 Signal Browser

The main page. Signals are grouped by theme and sorted by conviction within each theme. Use the date sidebar to browse historical days.

Element	What it is
⚡ Alert ticker	Scrolling bar showing all signals ≥35 conviction. Hover to pause.
Macro bar	Purple bar showing current bond macro context and multiplier. Hover ? for explanation.
Stats bar	Shows counts for the selected date. Updates when you click a date in the sidebar.
Date sidebar	Click any date to load that day's signals. Shows ▲bullish ▼risk ⚡top-score for each day.
Filters	Filter by ticker, direction (bullish/risk), flow type (A/B), outcome, or min conviction slider.

🏦 Bond Macro Dashboard

Six charts of global government bond yields, plus the 9-index global equities panel below them. Hover ? on any tile or chart for a specific explanation of what it means and what to watch for.

Chart / Tile	Key threshold
10Y−2Y Spread	Below 0 = inverted = recession risk. Currently +0.55% (normal)
Japan 10Y	Above 2.0% = yen carry unwind risk. Currently 2.27% — elevated
CN−US Spread	Below −2% = capital outflow from Asia. Currently −2.39% — explains TW selling
Macro Multiplier	Below 0.85 = headwind. Currently ×0.75 = suppressing all signals

🔬 Stock Profiler

Browse all 1,948 profiled TWSE stocks. Updated nightly. Search by ticker or company name, filter by sector or tier, sort by any metric.

Field	What it is
Tech score	Technical composite (−10 to +10) from the nightly profiler
GM % / OP %	Gross margin and operating margin from TWSE quarterly P&L (2025Q4)
EPS	Earnings per share in TWD from quarterly report
RevYoY	Monthly revenue vs same month prior year. Available after May 2026 for YoY comparison.
Flow	3-day net foreign institutional flow in millions TWD
Narrative	Grok-generated analysis for full-tier stocks (200 per night). Click card to read.

Full-tier stocks (200/night, with Grok narratives) are selected by: large market cap (top ~20), significant technical score change, volume spike ≥2.5×, or accumulation/distribution flip. Click any card to open the detail modal.

Use Profiler to check a stock before acting on a signal: Search the ticker, read the narrative, check margins and revenue trend. A signal on a stock with deteriorating fundamentals deserves extra skepticism even at high conviction.

🗺 Sectors

The Sectors page gives you a macro-level view of where conviction is concentrated across TWSE industry groups. Use it to identify rotation trends — which sectors are receiving bullish signals and which are under pressure.

Element	What it shows
Sector heatmap	Average conviction score per sector, colour-coded from red (bearish) to green (bullish)
Top themes	The highest-conviction themes active within each sector right now
Signal count	Number of live signals in each sector for the selected date

💼 Portfolio

Track your own positions alongside Bridge signals. Add tickers you hold and see how current conviction scores, tech indicators, and foreign flow compare to your entry thesis.

Use Portfolio to review active positions: If a stock you hold drops to low conviction with negative flow, that is an early warning to re-examine the thesis.

🌊 Capitulation Tracker

The Capitulation Tracker measures buying and selling exhaustion across four markets — Taiwan (TWSE), Japan (TSE), US (S&P 500 universe), and Malaysia (KLSE) — on a continuous 0–100 scale. It answers the question: is the market near a turning point?

Score range	Signal zone	Interpretation
0–12	CAPITULATION	Extreme panic selling; historically near a bottom
13–24	EXTREME OVERSOLD	Near-capitulation; watch for reversal confirmation
25–35	DEEP OVERSOLD	Broad market weakness; contrarian opportunity building
36–47	OVERSOLD	Mild weakness; many stocks below key averages
48–55	NEUTRAL	Balanced; no strong directional bias
56–65	OVERBOUGHT	Broad strength; momentum carrying markets higher
66–75	DEEP OVERBOUGHT	Stretched; rally starting to look tired
76–87	EXTREME OVERBOUGHT	Near-euphoria; reduce new longs
88–100	EUPHORIA	Historically near a top; high risk of reversal

The score is built from five breadth components: % stocks above SMA-20 (40%), RSI health distribution (25%), CLV accumulation/distribution (15%), advancing vs declining ratio (15%), and short-term trend momentum (5%). Each market also shows the last 30 days of history so you can see whether exhaustion is deepening or recovering.

How to use Capitulation with signals: When the Capitulation score is in DEEP OVERSOLD or lower AND conviction signals start appearing for quality stocks, that combination is the highest-quality setup Bridge can surface. Conversely, signals in EUPHORIA territory carry elevated mean-reversion risk even at high conviction.

Signal Cards

Each card = one signal. Click the ticker to open the stock's Profiler popup with full fundamentals and narrative.

/100

🔴 3711.TW Risk-Off

日月光投控 · 半導體業

Why Europe may be the best place to bet on defense stocks

RSS:WSJ Markets · 3/19/2026 · MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT

Tech: +0.10 Flow: −7.0M

⏳ Pending

Tech Pills

Pill	Source	Green = bullish when…	Red = bearish when…
RSI: N	14-day Relative Strength Index	<35 (oversold — potential bounce)	>70 (overbought — potential reversal)
Tech: ±N	Composite: RSI + SMA20/50 + CLV + persistence	>+0.1	<−0.1
Flow: ±NM	3-day net foreign institutional flow (TWSE only)	Positive millions (accumulation)	Negative millions (distribution)
Sent: ±N	Analyst sentiment DB avg polarity (30d)	>+0.3	<0
Fund: ±N%	Fundamentals multiplier applied to this signal	+10% or +20% (strong fundamentals)	−20% (weak fundamentals)

CLV (Close Location Value) — component of Tech score. Measures where the close lands in the day's high-low range. CLV = +1 means closed at the exact high (buyers dominated). CLV = −1 means closed at the low. Persistent high CLV = accumulation; persistent low CLV = distribution.

Outcome Pill

Pill	Meaning
⏳ Pending	Signal <48h old. Not yet checked.
✅ HIT +3.2%	Price moved ≥0.5% in predicted direction within 48h.
❌ MISS −1.1%	Price moved against the prediction within 48h.

Hit rate >55% = the system has genuine predictive value in the current environment. Checked daily at 10am UTC.

Flow A vs Flow B

	Flow A — News-Led	Flow B — Tech-Led
Starts with	A news article matching a theme	A technically strong stock (RSI, CLV, top daily gainer)
Then checks	Technicals confirm or deny the move	Searches news for the catalyst explaining the move
Best for	Catching moves early, before price reacts	Confirming moves in progress, finding the why
Cadence	Every 15 minutes	3× daily (7am, 1pm, 8pm SGT)
Label	No badge	⚡ TECH-LED

When Flow A and Flow B both fire on the same ticker simultaneously — news confirms a technical breakout or vice versa — that convergence is the strongest signal the system can produce.

The Three Tabs

🏆 Leaderboard

Top 30 signals across all dates, deduplicated by ticker + direction. Keeps the best conviction score for each stock-direction pair. Best for a morning scan of highest-conviction ideas regardless of when they appeared.

🔭 Themes

Themes discovered weekly (Sundays 2am) by k-means clustering of all article embeddings from the past 14 days. The AI names each cluster and assigns a direction.

Column	What it means
Novelty %	Distinctness from existing scan themes. Below 30% = likely overlapping with an existing theme.
Cluster size	Articles grouped together. Larger = more established story.
Sample titles	Judge whether the theme is genuine from representative articles.
Status	Proposed / Auto-promoted / Approved / Rejected

Approve if: sample titles tell a coherent story + novelty >35% + you'd trade this theme. Reject if it's too vague, overlapping, or the direction is wrong.

Inline ? Tooltips

Every panel in the Signal Browser, Bond Macro, and Stock Profiler pages has a ? button. Hovering shows a compact explanation without leaving the page. Use the Guide for the full depth; use the ? buttons for quick reminders while working.

The tooltips are context-aware — the Conviction tooltip shows the current max score and explains why it's compressed. The JP10Y tooltip calls out the current value vs the 2% threshold.

Daily Workflow

Morning check (5 minutes)

Check the macro bar — has the multiplier changed? ×0.75→×0.85 is meaningful.
Scan the alert ticker — any signals ≥35 conviction? New ones overnight?
Click today's date. Sort by conviction. Focus on signals above 35.
For interesting signals: check direction + theme + pills. Do they tell a coherent story?
For TW stocks: click the ticker to pull the Profiler popup — read the Grok narrative and check margins before acting.

Evaluating a signal

Is the regime supportive? Risk-Off = be very selective.
Do news and technicals agree? Bullish news + bearish tech = wait for confirmation.
What is the Fund pill? Red (−20%) = fundamentals contradict the thesis. Require stronger conviction.
For TW stocks: what is the foreign flow? Institutions selling while news is bullish = smart money disagrees.
Is the article fresh? Recency <0.3 = news is 5+ days old. Lower weight.
Does Flow B agree? Both flows firing on the same stock = highest confidence.

Best pattern: 🔴 Risk signal ≥35 conviction · Risk-Off regime · Tech score negative · Foreign flow negative · Article fresh (recency >0.7) · Fund pill neutral or positive (risk confirmed by weak fundamentals). All layers pointing the same way.

What to Watch For Over Time

Signal	What it means
Hit rate crosses 55%	The system has demonstrated genuine predictive value in this environment
Macro multiplier rises above 0.95	Macro headwind has lifted — bullish signals become more actionable
Regime changes Neutral or Bull-Trend	0.60× penalty removed — all scores roughly double
JP10Y falls below 2.0%	Yen carry unwind risk drops — Asian equity pressure reduces
CN-US spread rises above −1.5%	Capital outflow pressure from Asia eases — foreign selling may slow
Fund pill +20% on high-conviction signal	Fundamentals confirm the thesis — highest quality setup

Limitations

Not financial advice. The system identifies data patterns — it does not account for earnings surprises, insider activity, regulatory changes, or many other price drivers. Always do your own research before acting.

Limitation	Detail
Bond data lag	Government yields update with ~2 day lag. Macro multiplier reflects recent but not today's conditions.
TWSE fundamentals only	Fundamentals multiplier only applies to TWSE-listed stocks. US, JP, KR stocks show ×1.00 (no profile).
Quarterly fundamentals	P&L data is from TWSE OpenAPI — updates quarterly (Q4 2025 data available now). Revenue YoY will populate from May 2026 when prior-year comparison data exists.
Non-English sentiment	llama3.2:1b scores Chinese/Japanese articles as neutral (0.0). Analyst DB sentiment is more reliable for non-English stocks.
Multi-ticker signals	When a signal shows "TSLA,RIVN,LCID", technicals and flow are fetched for the first ticker only.
Outcome tracking	48-hour directional test (≥0.5% move). Does not account for magnitude, entry price, or risk/reward ratio.
US stocks	US technicals combine MySQL data (may be slightly stale) and yfinance. TW data is freshest.
Score compression	A score of 30 in Risk-Off ≠ a score of 30 in Bull-Trend. Always consider regime when comparing scores across time.

系統概覽

Bridge 是一個市場情報平台，將新聞、技術指標、基本面與宏觀環境整合為排名後的交易訊號。每個訊號評分介於 0 至 100 分，反映有多少獨立數據來源對某一方向達成共識，以及共識的強度。

系統提供四個可從頂部導航欄存取的頁面：

頁面	內容
📊 訊號瀏覽器	依日期與主題排名的交易機會
🏦 債券總覽	全球公債殖利率圖表及宏觀乘數歷史
🔬 股票分析師	1,948 支台股的可搜尋清單，含基本面與 Grok 研究報告
🗺 產業板塊	市場產業板塊概覽 — 各板塊信念熱圖、輪動訊號及最高排名主題
💼 投資組合	投資組合追蹤 — 將您的持股與訊號結果及信念分數並排比較
🌊 多空竭盡追蹤	台股、日股、美股、馬股的買賣竭盡指標 — 0–100 分，9 個訊號區間及 30 日歷史
📖 使用指南	本頁面

提示：每個面板都有 ? 按鈕，懸停即可獲得即時說明，無需離開頁面。本指南提供更深入的全面說明。

信念分數

信念分數（0–100）是最重要的數字，回答了一個核心問題：有多少個獨立訊號達成共識，共識有多強？

計算公式

信念分數 = 原始分數 × 市場環境 × 債券宏觀 × 全球指數 × 基本面

原始分數由 7 個組成部分構成（各佔固定比重），再乘以 4 個根據大環境進行調整的閘門。

20%

新聞向量相似度

文章與訊號主題的語意匹配程度。使用 pgvector 嵌入向量計算。

10%

LLM 情緒分析

llama3.2:1b 對文章語氣評分：-1（看跌）至 +1（看漲）。依方向性應用。

15%

分析師情緒資料庫

結構化分析師文章的平均情緒極性（付費資料源）。品質高於一般新聞。30 天窗口。

20%

技術分析分數

RSI、SMA20/50 位置、CLV（收盤位置值）和持續性的綜合指標。-1 至 +1。

10%

外資機構流向

台灣證交所外資 3 日淨買賣超。僅適用於台股；其他市場為中性（5 分）。

時效性

觸發文章的新鮮程度。7 天內線性遞減。

產業輪動

該產業是否處於吸籌或出貨狀態。無數據時為中性。

四大乘數

在原始分數之後依序套用。四者相乘疊加——在當前環境下，最終分數約為原始分數的 45%。

×0.60

市場環境

風險規避
台灣/亞洲目前

×0.75

債券宏觀

宏觀壓力
日本10年期偏高

×1.00

全球指數

混合
平均相關性=0.21

×0.80–1.20

基本面

個股而異
台灣證交所季報損益

乘數	範圍	數據來源	更新頻率
市場環境	×0.60 – ×1.30	各市場中股價高於 SMA20 的股票比例	每日
債券宏觀	×0.70 – ×1.20	美國殖利率曲線、日本10年期、中美利差	每日（約2日延遲）
全球指數	×0.80 – ×1.20	9 大全球指數報酬率及相關性	每日
基本面	×0.80 – ×1.20	台灣證交所 OpenAPI 季報毛利率、營益率、營收年增率	每晚（分析師）

基本面乘數（新功能）：對台股而言，信念分數現根據公司財務狀況是否支持訊號方向進行調整。毛利率 60%、營收年增 +22% 的看漲訊號獲得 ×1.20；毛利率 6%、營收下滑的看漲訊號則獲得 ×0.80。

強度標籤

分數	標籤	在風險規避+宏觀壓力下的解讀
0–39	⚪ 雜訊	弱對齊。僅供背景意識參考。
40–54	🟡 偏弱	部分對齊。值得關注——在風險規避下已具意義。
55–69	✅ 中等	良好對齊。在風險規避下罕見且具重要性。
70+	🔥 強力	在當前環境下幾乎不可能出現，需要市場環境先行轉變。

當前最高分約為 46/100，因為風險規避（×0.60）× 宏觀壓力（×0.75）= ×0.45 應用於原始分數。今日 46 分的訊號，在牛市+順風環境下可達約 100 分。分數並未失效——市場本身確實受到嚴格限制。

功能頁面

📊 訊號瀏覽器

主頁面。訊號依主題分組，並在每個主題內按信念分數排序。使用日期側邊欄瀏覽歷史日期。

元素	說明
⚡ 警示跑馬燈	顯示所有信念分數 ≥35 的訊號。懸停可暫停。
宏觀欄	紫色欄顯示當前債券宏觀背景及乘數。懸停 ? 查看說明。
統計欄	顯示所選日期的統計數據。點擊側邊欄日期時更新。
日期側邊欄	點擊任意日期載入當日訊號。每天顯示 ▲看漲 ▼看跌 ⚡最高分。
篩選器	依代碼、方向（看漲/看跌）、流量類型（A/B）、結果或最低信念分數篩選。

🏦 債券總覽儀表板

六張全球政府公債殖利率圖表，下方另有 9 大指數全球股市面板。懸停任意面板或圖表上的 ? 可獲得具體說明及注意事項。

圖表 / 面板	關鍵門檻
10年–2年利差	低於 0 = 殖利率曲線倒掛 = 衰退風險。目前 +0.55%（正常）
日本10年期	高於 2.0% = 日圓套利交易平倉風險。目前 2.27%——偏高
中美利差	低於 -2% = 亞洲資本外流。目前 -2.39%——說明台股外資賣超原因
宏觀乘數	低於 0.85 = 逆風。目前 ×0.75 = 壓制所有訊號

🔬 股票分析師

瀏覽所有 1,948 支已建檔的台股。每晚更新。依代碼或公司名稱搜尋，依產業或等級篩選，依任意指標排序。

欄位	說明
技術分數	每晚分析師的技術綜合分（-10 至 +10）
月營收年增率	當月營收與去年同期比較。2026年5月後方可進行年增率比較。
外資流量	外資 3 日淨買賣超（百萬台幣）
分析報告	全層級股票由 Grok 生成的分析（每晚200支）。點擊卡片閱讀。

全層級股票（每晚200支，附 Grok 分析）的選取條件：大市值、技術分數顯著變化、成交量爆量 ≥2.5×，或吸籌/出貨訊號翻轉。點擊任意卡片開啟詳細彈窗。

操作訊號前先用分析師頁面查核股票：搜尋代碼，閱讀分析報告，查看利潤率和營收趨勢。基本面惡化的股票，即使信念分數高，也應保持額外謹慎。

🗺 產業板塊

產業板塊頁面提供台股各產業的宏觀概覽，顯示信念分數在各板塊的分布狀況。用於識別輪動趨勢——哪些板塊正接收看多訊號，哪些承壓。

元素	說明
板塊熱圖	各板塊平均信念分數，從紅（看空）到綠（看多）顏色標示
熱門主題	各板塊目前最高信念的活躍主題
訊號數量	所選日期各板塊的現有訊號數

💼 投資組合

將您的持股與 Bridge 訊號並排追蹤。新增您持有的代碼，查看當前信念分數、技術指標及外資流量，與您的進場邏輯相互對照。

用投資組合檢視現有持倉：若持股信念分數下降且外資流出，這是重新審視邏輯的早期警示。

🌊 多空竭盡追蹤器

多空竭盡追蹤器以 0–100 連續分數衡量四個市場（台灣 TWSE、日本 TSE、美國 S&P 500、馬來西亞 KLSE）的買賣竭盡程度，回答一個核心問題：市場是否接近轉折點？

分數範圍	訊號區間	解讀
0–12	多空竭盡	極端恐慌性賣出；歷史上接近底部
13–24	極度超賣	接近竭盡；等待反轉確認
25–35	深度超賣	市場大面積弱勢；逆向機會正在醞釀
36–47	超賣	輕微弱勢；多數股票在均線下方
48–55	中性	多空平衡；無明顯方向性偏向
56–65	超買	市場廣泛強勢；動能推升行情
66–75	深度超買	漲幅過度拉伸；反彈開始顯疲態
76–87	極度超買	接近狂熱；降低新多倉部位
88–100	市場狂熱	歷史上接近頂部；反轉風險高

分數由五項廣度指標構成：SMA-20 以上個股比例（40%）、RSI 健康分布（25%）、CLV 吸籌/出貨（15%）、漲跌比（15%）、短期趨勢動能（5%）。每個市場亦顯示近 30 日歷史走勢，讓您判斷竭盡是否加深或已在恢復中。

搭配訊號使用竭盡追蹤器：當竭盡分數處於深度超賣或更低，同時優質股票開始出現看多信念訊號，這是 Bridge 能呈現的最高品質組合。相反地，在市場狂熱區間出現的訊號，即使信念分數高，均值回歸風險仍大。

訊號卡片

每張卡片 = 一個訊號。點擊代碼可開啟該股票的分析師彈窗，顯示完整基本面和分析報告。

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🔴 3711.TW 風險規避

日月光投控 · 半導體業

歐洲可能是押注國防股的最佳市場

RSS:WSJ Markets · 2026/3/19 · 中東局勢

⏳ 待確認

技術指標

標籤	數據來源	綠色（看漲）條件	紅色（看跌）條件
RSI: N	14日相對強弱指標	<35（超賣——潛在反彈）	>70（超買——潛在回撤）
Tech: ±N	綜合指標：RSI + SMA20/50 + CLV + 持續性	>+0.1	<-0.1
Flow: ±NM	外資 3 日淨買賣超（僅限台股）	正值百萬（吸籌）	負值百萬（出貨）
Sent: ±N	分析師情緒資料庫平均極性（30日）	>+0.3	<0
Fund: ±N%	應用於此訊號的基本面乘數	+10% 或 +20%（強健基本面）	-20%（薄弱基本面）

CLV（收盤位置值）——技術分數的組成部分。衡量收盤價在當日最高最低價區間的位置。CLV = +1 意味著恰好以最高價收盤（買方主導）；CLV = -1 意味著以最低價收盤。持續高 CLV = 吸籌；持續低 CLV = 出貨。

結果標籤

標籤	含義
⏳ 待確認	訊號不足 48 小時，尚未確認。
✅ 命中 +3.2%	48小時內股價朝預測方向移動 ≥0.5%。
❌ 未命中 -1.1%	48小時內股價反向移動。

命中率 >55% = 系統在當前環境下具有真實的預測價值。每日 UTC 時間上午10時確認。

Flow A 與 Flow B

	Flow A — 新聞主導	Flow B — 技術主導
起始於	與主題匹配的新聞文章	技術強勢股（RSI、CLV、當日漲幅最大）
然後確認	技術指標確認或否定走勢	搜尋新聞以找出驅動走勢的催化劑
最適合	早期發現走勢，在股價反應前捕捉	確認進行中的走勢，找出背後原因
頻率	每 15 分鐘	每日3次（上午7時、下午1時、晚上8時 SGT）
標籤	無標記	⚡ 技術主導

當 Flow A 和 Flow B 同時觸發同一支股票——新聞確認技術突破，或反之——這種訊號匯聚是系統能產生的最強訊號。

三個分頁

🏆 排行榜

跨所有日期的前 30 個訊號，按代碼+方向去重，保留每個股票方向組合的最佳信念分數。最適合不受日期限制、快速掃描最高信念度投資想法的早晨例行程序。

🔭 主題

每週日凌晨2時，由 k-means 聚類演算法對過去14天所有文章的嵌入向量進行聚類，以發現主題。AI 為每個聚類命名並分配方向。

欄位	含義
新穎度 %	與現有掃描主題的差異程度。低於 30% = 可能與現有主題重疊。
聚類大小	歸組在一起的文章數量。越大 = 故事越成熟。
示例標題	從代表性文章判斷主題是否真實。
狀態	已提議 / 自動推廣 / 已批准 / 已拒絕

批准條件：示例標題呈現連貫故事 + 新穎度 >35% + 這是你會交易的主題。拒絕條件：主題過於模糊、與現有主題重疊，或方向有誤。

提示說明功能

訊號瀏覽器、債券總覽和股票分析師頁面的每個面板都有 ? 按鈕。懸停可顯示簡要說明，無需離開頁面。使用本指南獲取完整說明；使用 ? 按鈕作為工作時的快速提醒。

每日使用流程

早晨檢查（5 分鐘）

查看宏觀欄——乘數是否有變化？×0.75→×0.85 是有意義的轉變。
掃描警示跑馬燈——是否有信念分數 ≥35 的訊號？隔夜有新訊號嗎？
點擊今日日期，按信念分數排序，專注於 35 分以上的訊號。
對感興趣的訊號：確認方向 + 主題 + 標籤，判斷是否呈現連貫的故事。
對台股：點擊代碼調出分析師彈窗——閱讀 Grok 報告並在操作前查核利潤率。

評估訊號

市場環境是否有利？風險規避模式 = 要非常謹慎地選擇。
新聞與技術指標是否一致？看漲新聞 + 看跌技術 = 等待確認。
Fund 標籤是什麼？紅色（-20%）= 基本面與論點相悖，需要更強的信念分數。
對台股：外資流向如何？機構賣出而新聞看漲 = 聰明錢持不同意見。
文章是否新鮮？時效性 <0.3 = 新聞已超過 5 天，權重較低。
Flow B 是否認同？兩種流量均觸發同一股票 = 最高信心。

最佳形態：🔴 看跌訊號 ≥35 信念分數 · 風險規避市場環境 · 技術分數負值 · 外資流向負值 · 文章新鮮（時效性 >0.7）· Fund 標籤中性或正值（薄弱基本面確認風險訊號）。所有層面指向同一方向。

長期觀察重點

訊號	含義
命中率突破 55%	系統已在當前環境下展現出真實的預測價值
宏觀乘數升破 0.95	宏觀逆風已消退——看漲訊號變得更具可操作性
市場環境轉為中性或牛市趨勢	0.60× 懲罰解除——所有分數大約翻倍
日本10年期跌破 2.0%	日圓套利平倉風險下降——亞洲股市壓力減少
中美利差升破 -1.5%	亞洲資本外流壓力緩解——外資賣超可能放緩
Fund 標籤 +20% 出現在高信念分數訊號上	基本面確認論點——最高品質的交易設置

系統限制

免責聲明：這不是投資建議。系統識別數據模式，不考慮盈餘驚喜、內部人士活動、監管變化或其他許多股價驅動因素。在採取行動前務必自行研究。

限制	說明
債券數據延遲	政府殖利率更新約有 2 天延遲。宏觀乘數反映近期但非今日狀況。
僅限台股基本面	基本面乘數僅適用於台股上市公司。美股、日股、韓股顯示 ×1.00（無建檔資料）。
季度基本面	損益資料來自台灣證交所 OpenAPI，每季更新（現已提供2025Q4資料）。
非英文情緒分析	llama3.2:1b 對中文/日文文章評分為中性（0.0）。非英文股票更依賴分析師資料庫情緒。
多代碼訊號	當訊號顯示「TSLA,RIVN,LCID」時，技術指標和流向僅從第一個代碼抓取。
結果追蹤	48小時方向性測試（≥0.5% 移動），不考慮幅度、進場價格或風險報酬比。
美股	美股技術指標結合 MySQL 資料（可能稍有過期）和 yfinance。台股資料最為即時。
分數壓縮	風險規避下的 30 分 ≠ 牛市趨勢下的 30 分。跨時間比較分數時，務必考慮市場環境。